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Red78
28727.8
39511.0
501625.9
Blue27
775919.2
77304.3
964225.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040506070807827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
40Total teleop9
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
20Foul points6
78Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#10
27.80.2
23.122.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
red by 2.3
9642
#49
25.54.3
25.621.4
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Second
5016
#20
25.90.2
20.420.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
red by 6.7
7759
#27
19.24.3
14.710.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Third
395
#38
11.00.2
13.813.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 6.7
7730
#37
4.34.3
16.011.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed