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Red40
33324.5
64636.0
26318.1
Blue80
287242.2
731817.8
659322.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801001204080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+26
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
35Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
40Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#46
24.51.7
22.921.2
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 17.7
42.22.0
29.231.2
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
Second
263
#22
18.11.7
21.720.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End0.8
blue by 4.1
6593
#11
22.22.0
20.222.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Third
6463
#48
6.01.7
10.99.2
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 11.8
7318
#29
17.82.0
12.614.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned