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Red20
1015216.5
301711.8
77186.4
Blue116
630019.8
179660.1
36924.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6089020408010012014020116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+90
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
0Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +67
4Coral scored#16
14Coral points57
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
18Total teleop85
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
5Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
2Foul points2
20Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.55.3
18.513.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 43.5
60.12.9
38.141.0
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
Second
3017
#43
11.85.3
23.117.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
blue by 12.8
369
#40Sur
24.62.9
17.220.1
Auto2.0
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Third
7718
#33
6.45.3
16.511.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End2.9
blue by 13.4
6300
#34
19.82.9
23.626.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed