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Red25
115517.4
642317.9
37927.3
Blue89
341931.5
28727.8
775919.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69703040506080902589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+48
Endgame+60
Fouls+64
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
0Processor points6
0Net points20
0Algae points26
10Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
2Foul points6
25Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#21
27.34.5
26.722.2
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
blue by 4.2
3419
#19
31.52.1
30.832.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
Second
17.94.5
14.710.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 9.9
287
#10
27.82.1
22.925.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Third
1155
#35
17.44.5
22.217.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8
blue by 1.8
7759
#27
19.22.1
10.412.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned