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Red87
964225.5
873921.7
35340.7
Blue50
260127.1
659322.2
96367.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87670204060801001201408750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+51Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +48
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
68Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points8
87Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#4
40.70.5
34.434.9
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
red by 13.6
2601
#25
27.12.4
29.427.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.8
Second
9642
#49
25.50.5
21.421.8
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 3.3
6593
#11
22.22.4
22.219.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Third
8739
#23
21.70.5
21.021.5
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
red by 13.9
9636
#39
7.82.4
11.79.3
Auto1.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned