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Red11
77304.3
68803.9
446723.9
Blue130
901635.9
573652.0
205333.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43102020608012014016011130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+87
Endgame+99
Fouls+119
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave9
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points35
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +52
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
0Total teleop52
Reef
0L4#7
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +119
0Foul points20
11Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#17
23.93.8
25.922.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
blue by 28.1
52.02.6
34.437.0
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Second
7730
#37
4.33.8
11.88.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 31.6
9016
#13
35.92.6
26.729.3
Auto7.5
Teleop26.6
End1.8
Third
6880
#45
3.93.8
7.53.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 30.0
33.92.6
25.728.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned