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Red78
39511.0
33324.5
188430.0
Blue31
188027.9
1022911.1
395015.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61632040801007831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+51Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
14Coral scored#3
50Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
64Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
78Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
#31
30.02.5
20.923.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
red by 2.2
1880
#14
27.92.9
18.615.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End1.8
Second
333
#46
24.52.5
21.223.7
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 9.1
3950
#47
15.42.9
25.122.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Third
395
#38
11.02.5
13.616.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 0.1
11.12.9
13.310.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed