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Red58
1022911.1
775919.2
412232.0
Blue109
573652.0
96367.8
929526.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5969020408010012014058109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
38Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
58Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#15
32.00.5
30.330.9
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
blue by 19.9
52.05.2
37.042.2
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Second
7759
#27
19.20.5
12.513.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
blue by 7.7
26.95.2
16.121.2
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
Third
11.10.5
10.410.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
red by 3.3
9636
#39
7.85.2
9.314.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed