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Red55
696917.0
77186.4
33324.5
Blue91
1026220.3
26318.1
260127.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48710204060801001205591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+6
Fouls+36
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
32Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points30
55Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#46
24.50.7
21.121.8
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 2.6
2601
#25
27.10.4
32.231.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.8
Second
6969
#41
17.00.7
18.919.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
blue by 3.3
20.30.4
13.413.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Third
7718
#33
6.40.7
8.59.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End2.9
blue by 11.7
263
#22
18.10.4
19.018.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned