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Red117
35340.7
69464.0
971313.8
Blue42
1022911.1
28727.8
529827.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11655010015011742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+59Teleop
+69Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#3
39Coral points12
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
67Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
6Foul points0
117Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.01.3
52.453.7
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 36.2
287
#10
27.81.7
27.225.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Second
353
#4
40.71.3
35.236.6
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
red by 12.9
5298
#36
27.81.7
18.717.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Third
9713
#28
13.81.3
11.412.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End2.2
red by 2.7
11.11.7
10.99.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed