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Red96
188430.0
929526.9
691126.8
Blue40
630019.8
68803.9
39511.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914602060801001201401609640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+52Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
62Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
7L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
12Foul points6
96Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
#31
30.00.5
26.827.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
red by 10.3
6300
#34
19.81.6
27.325.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End0.6
Second
26.90.5
21.221.7
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
red by 15.9
395
#38
11.01.6
14.813.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
6911
#18
26.80.5
28.929.4
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
red by 22.9
6880
#45
3.91.6
3.61.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed