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Red80
36924.6
901635.9
775919.2
Blue102
226518.8
179660.1
205333.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610320408012014080102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave0
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points40
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
65Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
80Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#13
35.91.6
31.933.5
Auto7.5
Teleop26.6
End1.8
blue by 24.2
60.10.5
43.644.1
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
Second
369
#40
24.61.6
20.422.1
Auto2.0
Teleop21.5
End1.0
blue by 9.3
33.90.5
32.432.9
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
Third
7759
#27
19.21.6
13.014.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 0.5
2265
#32
18.80.5
15.415.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed