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Red67
37927.3
501625.9
395015.4
Blue32
64636.0
188027.9
873921.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73480204060801001206732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
47Total teleop9
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points12
67Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#21
27.30.5
25.725.2
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
blue by 0.5
1880
#14
27.93.1
19.916.7
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End1.8
Second
5016
#20
25.90.5
20.119.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
red by 4.2
8739
#23
21.73.1
20.417.3
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
Third
3950
#47
15.40.5
19.719.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 9.4
6463
#48
6.03.1
7.94.8
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed