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Red80
96367.8
691126.8
341931.5
Blue91
929526.9
149332.4
260127.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7399204060801201401608091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
58Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
80Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#19
31.50.8
30.731.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
blue by 0.8
32.40.3
34.935.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
Second
6911
#18
26.80.8
29.430.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
blue by 0.3
2601
#25
27.10.3
31.832.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.8
Third
9636
#39
7.80.8
10.311.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 19.1
26.90.3
21.722.0
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed