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Red78
1022911.1
287242.2
341931.5
Blue67
640121.5
964225.5
226518.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96542040801201401607867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
51Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
78Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.7
40.339.6
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
red by 16.7
9642
#49
25.51.4
21.623.0
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Second
3419
#19
31.50.7
31.530.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
red by 10.1
6401
#42
21.51.4
16.718.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
11.10.7
12.912.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 7.6
2265
#32
18.81.4
15.917.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed