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Red68
76686.5
691126.8
28727.8
Blue65
77186.4
873921.7
901635.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726940506080901006865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
55Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
68Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#10
27.80.3
24.624.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
blue by 8.1
9016
#13
35.90.2
32.232.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.6
End1.8
Second
6911
#18
26.80.3
30.230.5
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
red by 5.0
8739
#23
21.70.2
21.221.4
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
Third
7668
#44
6.50.3
10.710.9
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 0.1
7718
#33
6.40.2
9.910.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed