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Red79
412232.0
301711.8
64636.0
Blue109
642317.9
188430.0
1026220.3
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627220408010012079109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
47Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
18Foul points38
79Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#15
32.00.3
33.533.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
red by 2.0
1884
#31
30.00.9
27.328.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
Second
3017
#43
11.80.3
15.115.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
blue by 8.5
20.30.9
13.714.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Third
6463
#48
6.00.3
6.87.1
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
blue by 11.8
17.90.9
21.622.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned