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Red84
260127.1
775919.2
573652.0
Blue83
149332.4
395015.4
731817.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037840601201401608483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+9Teleop
+13Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
43Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points20
84Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.02.0
43.541.5
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 19.6
32.41.5
35.133.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
Second
2601
#25
27.12.0
32.130.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.8
red by 9.3
7318
#29
17.81.5
19.818.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
7759
#27
19.22.0
18.616.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 3.8
3950
#47
15.41.5
21.219.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed