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Red107
69464.0
115517.4
696917.0
Blue98
929526.9
964225.5
287242.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9994608012014010798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points15
30Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points2
107Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.01.0
57.658.5
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 21.8
42.20.1
39.639.7
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
Second
1155
#35
17.40.9
14.615.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8
blue by 9.6
26.90.1
24.124.1
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
Third
6969
#41
17.00.9
15.916.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
blue by 8.5
9642
#49
25.50.1
23.023.1
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed