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Red56
750422.5
188430.0
873921.7
Blue111
573652.0
971313.8
226518.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81795060709010011056111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
43Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points8
56Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
#31
30.01.7
28.326.5
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
blue by 21.9
52.03.1
41.544.6
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Second
7504
#24
22.51.7
22.921.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End0.8
red by 3.7
2265
#32
18.83.1
17.320.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Third
8739
#23
21.71.7
21.419.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
red by 7.9
9713
#28
13.83.1
14.317.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned