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Red40
696917.0
691126.8
1022911.1
Blue46
77304.3
412232.0
36924.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6275020401001201404046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
17Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points12
40Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#18
26.81.7
28.226.5
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
blue by 5.3
4122
#15
32.03.2
34.030.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
Second
6969
#41
17.01.7
16.815.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
blue by 7.6
369
#40
24.63.2
25.922.7
Auto2.0
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Third
11.11.7
12.811.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.1
red by 6.8
7730
#37
4.33.2
7.54.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed