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Red86
873921.7
630019.8
529827.8
Blue93
115517.4
33324.5
901635.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658220401001201408693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
75Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
86Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#36
27.82.1
21.023.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
blue by 8.1
9016
#13
35.91.6
32.634.2
Auto7.5
Teleop26.6
End1.8
Second
8739
#23
21.72.1
19.721.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
blue by 2.8
333
#46
24.51.6
22.924.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Third
6300
#34
19.82.1
17.719.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End0.6
red by 2.4
1155
#35
17.41.6
15.517.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed