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Red87
26318.1
640121.5
188430.0
Blue91
37927.3
149332.4
750422.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64892040801001201408791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
65Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points0
87Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
#31
30.02.3
26.528.8
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
blue by 2.3
32.41.3
29.430.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
Second
6401
#42
21.52.3
19.221.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
blue by 5.8
379
#21
27.31.3
26.527.9
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
Third
263
#22
18.12.3
15.918.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End0.8
blue by 4.4
7504
#24
22.51.3
21.222.5
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed