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Red33
362420.9
301711.8
971313.8
Blue101
35340.7
929526.9
775919.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629020408010012014033101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+64
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points22
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +51
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
16Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points6
33Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3624
#12
20.93.5
24.921.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
blue by 19.8
353
#4
40.71.6
37.038.6
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
Second
9713
#28
13.83.5
17.413.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End2.2
blue by 13.1
26.91.6
24.125.7
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
Third
3017
#43
11.83.5
15.411.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
blue by 7.4
7759
#27
19.21.6
17.719.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed