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Red32
77186.4
260127.1
39511.0
Blue170
642317.9
205333.9
64636.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526620408010012014016032170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+138
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#7
15Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
19Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +138
0Foul points116
32Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#25
27.11.8
29.627.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.8
blue by 6.8
33.90.6
35.534.9
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
Second
395
#38
11.01.8
12.811.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 6.8
17.90.6
18.217.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
7718
#33
6.41.8
8.26.4
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End2.9
red by 0.4
6463
#48
6.00.6
6.66.0
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed