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Red175
1026220.3
573652.0
179660.1
Blue115
964225.5
341931.5
659322.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247350100150200175115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+62Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +38
22Coral scored#12
80Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
104Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#5
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
175Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.15.3
51.857.1
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
red by 28.5
3419
#19
31.53.2
30.834.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
Second
52.05.3
44.649.9
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 26.5
9642
#49
25.53.2
23.126.3
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Third
20.35.3
15.020.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.8
blue by 1.9
6593
#11
22.23.2
19.823.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned