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Red63
395015.4
446723.9
226518.8
Blue74
68803.9
28727.8
1015216.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714302060801001201406374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
63Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#17
23.91.6
27.926.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
blue by 3.9
287
#10
27.82.1
28.130.2
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Second
2265
#32
18.81.6
20.418.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 2.2
16.52.1
14.516.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Third
3950
#47
15.41.6
17.115.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 11.5
6880
#45
3.92.1
1.83.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed