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Red128
529827.8
69464.0
188027.9
Blue75
731817.8
696917.0
36924.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12448010015020012875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
86Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
128Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.02.1
58.961.0
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 39.4
369
#40
24.61.9
22.724.6
Auto2.0
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Second
1880
#14
27.92.1
24.126.2
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End1.8
red by 10.0
7318
#29
17.82.1
15.717.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
5298
#36
27.81.9
23.125.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 10.7
6969
#41
17.01.9
15.117.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed