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Red111
412232.0
929526.9
188430.0
Blue77
691126.8
642317.9
115517.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97662040608012014011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
20Coral scored#9
71Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
95Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#2
8L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points12
111Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#15
32.00.8
30.831.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
red by 5.3
6911
#18
26.80.1
26.526.6
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
Second
1884
#31
30.00.8
28.829.6
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
red by 12.2
17.90.1
17.617.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
26.90.8
25.726.5
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
red by 9.6
1155
#35
17.40.1
17.117.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8