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Red138
35340.7
573652.0
501625.9
Blue83
341931.5
28727.8
446723.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12497608014016018013883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+53Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points17
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
78Total teleop43
Reef
13L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
138Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.8
49.950.6
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 20.4
3419
#19
31.50.2
34.033.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
Second
353
#4
40.70.8
38.639.3
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
red by 12.9
287
#10
27.80.2
30.230.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Third
5016
#20
25.90.8
23.824.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
red by 2.0
4467
#17
23.90.2
26.326.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8