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Red76
341931.5
28727.8
446723.9
Blue69
691126.8
642317.9
115517.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104662040801201401607669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points6
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
34Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +7
4Foul points2
76Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#19
31.50.5
33.733.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
red by 4.8
6911
#18
26.80.2
26.626.8
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
Second
287
#10
27.80.5
30.029.4
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
red by 9.9
17.90.2
17.717.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Third
4467
#17
23.90.5
26.125.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
red by 6.5
1155
#35
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End0.8