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Red184
69464.0
529827.8
179660.1
Blue55
37927.3
287242.2
205333.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161109608010012014018020022018455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+121Teleop
+131Endgame
+129Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave9
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points4
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +83
24Coral scored#6
85Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
113Total teleop30
Reef
11L4#3
7L3#2
8L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +129
6Foul points8
184Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.01.0
61.562.5
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 21.8
42.21.8
43.741.9
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
Second
60.11.0
57.658.6
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
red by 26.2
33.91.8
35.433.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
Third
5298
#36
27.80.9
25.526.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 0.5
379
#21
27.31.8
28.426.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7