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Red120
35340.7
573652.0
501625.9
Blue95
412232.0
929526.9
188430.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12689608010014016018020012095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+15Teleop
+29Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
67Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#3
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points4
120Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.1
50.650.7
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 19.9
4122
#15
32.00.0
31.631.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
Second
353
#4
40.70.1
39.339.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
red by 10.6
1884
#31
30.00.0
29.629.6
Auto3.8
Teleop25.9
End0.3
Third
5016
#20
25.90.1
24.624.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
blue by 1.1
26.90.0
26.526.5
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6