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Red129
37927.3
287242.2
205333.9
Blue46
341931.5
28727.8
446723.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11191608010012014016012946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+93Teleop
+95Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points15
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +85
18Coral scored#3
66Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
98Total teleop13
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +83
2Foul points14
129Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.7
41.942.7
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
red by 10.6
3419
#19
31.51.7
33.231.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
Second
33.90.7
33.634.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
red by 6.1
287
#10
27.81.7
29.427.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Third
379
#21
27.30.7
26.627.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
red by 3.4
4467
#17
23.91.7
25.623.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8