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Red143
395050.1
279137.0
149349.4
Blue214
179682.2
552844.6
662164.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13521050100150250300143214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+39
Endgame+69
Fouls+71
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points44
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +39
17Coral scored#28
61Coral points100
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
93Total teleop132
Reef
7L4#15
7L3#9
9L2#6
3L1 · trough#7
33Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points2
143Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#14
50.10.2
49.950.1
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
blue by 32.1
82.20.5
81.782.2
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
1493
#21
49.40.2
49.249.4
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
blue by 14.9
64.20.5
63.764.2
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Third
37.00.2
36.837.0
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
blue by 7.6
5528
#29
44.60.5
44.144.6
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8