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Red158
395050.1
279137.0
149349.4
Blue221
179682.2
552844.6
662164.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13420850100150250300158221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+35
Endgame+65
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +24
19Coral scored#27
70Coral points98
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
110Total teleop134
Reef
8L4#12
9L3#13
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +63
2Foul points0
158Total score221

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#14
50.10.5
49.449.9
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
blue by 32.1
82.20.7
81.081.7
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
1493
#21
49.40.5
48.749.2
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
blue by 14.9
64.20.7
63.063.7
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Third
37.00.5
36.336.8
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
blue by 7.6
5528
#29
44.60.7
43.444.1
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8