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Red170
2065.3
81038.8
146859.6
Blue213
179682.2
552844.6
662164.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168202100150250300170213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
19Coral scored#29
69Coral points106
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
30Processor points18
20Net points16
50Algae points34
119Total teleop140
Reef
7L4#12
6L3#13
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
170Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.30.1
65.265.3
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
blue by 16.9
82.20.5
80.481.0
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
1468
#19
59.60.1
59.659.6
Auto15.7
Teleop40.2
End3.7
blue by 4.6
64.20.5
62.463.0
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Third
810
#26
38.80.1
38.738.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
blue by 5.8
5528
#29
44.60.5
42.843.4
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8