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Red157
159151.7
691138.0
87064.5
Blue212
179682.2
552844.6
662164.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158199100250300157212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +38
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
18Processor points12
12Net points28
30Algae points40
78Total teleop116
Reef
9L4#12
5L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +55
2Foul points2
157Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
64.50.0
64.564.5
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
blue by 17.7
82.20.6
79.880.4
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
1591
#11
51.70.0
51.751.7
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End4.4
blue by 12.5
64.20.6
61.962.4
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Third
6911
#34
38.00.0
37.938.0
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6
blue by 6.6
5528
#29
44.60.6
42.242.8
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8