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Red161
2065.3
81038.8
146859.6
Blue171
395050.1
279137.0
149349.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178137100150200250161171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +3
24Coral scored#18
88Coral points65
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
116Total teleop113
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points0
161Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.30.2
65.465.2
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 15.2
3950
#14
50.10.8
48.649.4
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
Second
1468
#19
59.60.2
59.759.6
Auto15.7
Teleop40.2
End3.7
red by 10.3
1493
#21
49.40.8
47.948.7
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
Third
810
#26
38.80.2
38.938.7
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
red by 1.8
37.00.8
35.536.3
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1