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Red152
63940.7
760541.7
304465.0
Blue148
35834.9
662164.2
395050.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238250100150152148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
84Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#9
10L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#32
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
152Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.03.2
48.551.7
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
red by 0.8
64.25.8
26.932.7
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
Second
7605
#12
41.72.4
29.031.4
Auto10.9
Teleop27.1
End3.7
blue by 8.4
3950
#14
50.14.4
32.837.2
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
Third
639
#38
40.73.5
38.542.0
Auto5.9
Teleop28.9
End5.9
red by 5.8
358
#32
34.95.3
22.828.2
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned