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Red99
317362.3
445847.9
640119.0
Blue174
146859.6
179682.2
946824.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13413810012016018099174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+65
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points41
20Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +41
11Coral scored#20
39Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
63Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#12
4L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
99Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#15
62.33.3
61.858.6
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
blue by 19.9
82.23.0
60.163.1
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
47.93.0
41.238.2
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
blue by 11.8
1468
#19
59.62.8
51.254.0
Auto15.7
Teleop40.2
End3.7
Third
6401
#45
19.03.3
21.518.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.8
blue by 5.5
9468
#33
24.53.0
17.720.7
Auto3.8
Teleop18.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned