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Red83
646317.5
311734.1
317125.6
Blue94
703115.1
19156.9
771821.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548401001508394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
54Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
83Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#41
34.11.5
27.829.2
Auto2.6
Teleop28.1
End3.3
blue by 22.9
191
#10
56.91.4
49.050.3
Auto17.4
Teleop35.2
End4.4
Second
3171
#49
25.61.9
21.323.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 4.6
7718
#39
21.01.4
6.47.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
6463
#50
17.51.9
6.08.0
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 2.4
7031
#48
15.11.7
18.219.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed