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Red99
205341.1
25016.3
2065.3
Blue68
2299.7
1071429.1
81038.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065101509968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
64Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
8Foul points0
99Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.30.7
45.544.7
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 26.4
810
#26
38.80.5
27.027.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
Second
2053
#27
41.10.7
33.933.1
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
red by 12.1
29.110.6
29.118.4
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Third
250
#46
16.30.7
13.913.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 6.6
229
#51
9.70.5
9.49.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed