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Qual 122025 New York Tech Valley Regional
Red104
317362.3
514918.8
664822.2
Blue112
87064.5
646317.5
1071429.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10681050150200104112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
46Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
4Foul points0
104Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#15
62.30.1
58.6→58.7
Auto15.1
Teleop37.5
End9.8
blue by 2.2
870
#8
64.52.2
50.5→52.7
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
Second
6648
#44
22.20.2
17.2→17.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 6.9
10714
#42
29.13.3
18.4→21.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Third
5149
#53
18.80.2
16.5→16.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 1.3
6463
#50
17.52.4
8.0→10.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned