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Red23
318125.1
775914.9
35834.9
Blue138
445847.9
188036.1
2299.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7584020030040050060023138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +38
2Coral scored#11
6Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points68
23Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#32
34.93.5
28.224.7
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
blue by 12.9
47.90.4
38.237.8
Auto14.4
Teleop31.1
End2.4
Second
3181
#25
25.13.8
21.918.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End1.4
blue by 11.0
1880
#30
36.10.4
27.326.8
Auto5.9
Teleop26.9
End3.3
Third
7759
#52
14.93.8
20.016.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.8
red by 5.2
229
#51
9.70.4
9.99.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned