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Red127
457124.5
946824.5
304465.0
Blue99
630026.7
33422.5
81038.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109735010015012799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+32Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +42
23Coral scored#11
82Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
106Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
127Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.01.6
51.753.3
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
red by 26.2
810
#26
38.81.6
27.429.0
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
Second
4571
#54
24.52.2
17.419.6
Auto3.0
Teleop21.3
End0.3
blue by 2.2
6300
#17
26.71.7
22.624.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Third
9468
#33
24.51.6
20.722.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.0
End2.7
red by 2.0
334
#56
22.52.3
16.819.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned