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Red82
57825.3
962435.2
25016.3
Blue119
300345.5
703115.1
680624.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5788020408010012014082119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
71Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
82Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#37
35.21.4
28.830.2
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End2.8
blue by 10.3
3003
#16
45.53.1
34.837.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
578
#55
25.31.8
11.112.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End1.6
red by 0.4
6806
#36
24.92.8
18.521.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.0
Third
250
#46
16.31.7
13.214.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 1.2
7031
#48
15.14.2
19.924.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned