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Red105
260129.4
750432.8
286943.0
Blue177
179682.2
287550.8
703021.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013950100150200105177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+68
Endgame+84
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave6
1Coral scored#8
4Coral points38
13Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +37
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
80Total teleop117
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#8
5L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
12Foul points0
105Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#13
43.00.1
37.237.1
Auto7.8
Teleop28.8
End6.4
blue by 39.2
82.23.8
63.166.9
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
7504
#24
32.80.1
23.323.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
blue by 18.0
50.83.8
40.344.2
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
Third
2601
#43
29.40.1
24.724.6
Auto6.7
Teleop22.1
End0.7
red by 8.0
7030
#28
21.55.2
15.220.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned