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Red103
552844.6
112629.6
691138.0
Blue126
159151.7
279137.0
42445.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921196080100140160180103126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
14Coral scored#22
49Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
67Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#12
6L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
103Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5528
#29
44.60.5
33.634.0
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
blue by 7.1
1591
#11
51.71.6
42.944.5
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End4.4
Second
6911
#34
38.00.5
27.728.2
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6
blue by 7.0
424
#31
45.01.6
38.339.9
Auto7.1
Teleop30.4
End7.5
Third
1126
#18
29.60.6
28.729.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.2
End4.6
blue by 7.4
37.01.9
24.926.8
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed