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Red122
760541.7
514918.8
81038.8
Blue116
33422.5
412258.1
279137.0
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511150100150200122116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
85Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
122Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7605
#12
41.72.4
34.837.2
Auto10.9
Teleop27.1
End3.7
blue by 16.4
58.10.9
49.950.8
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
Second
810
#26
38.82.4
29.031.4
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End1.5
red by 1.8
37.01.3
26.828.1
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
Third
5149
#53
18.84.0
16.720.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 3.7
334
#56
22.51.6
19.120.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned